NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BALL INST
Points 69.4 89.0
Total Points   158.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 40.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 33.4
Points From Free Throws 13.9 14.8
Shooting BALL INST
Field Goals Made 24.2 31.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 58.2
Field Goal % 42.4% 54.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 30.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 66.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 27.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 40.4%
Free Throws Made 13.9 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 18.3
Free Throw % 77.8% 80.7%
Ball Control BALL INST
Rebounds 28.5 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 6.6
Turnovers 10.8 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.8 1.8
Steals 4.5 5.9
Fouls 14.4 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BALL INST
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 69.0
% of Possessions with BALL INST
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 38.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 34.4%
Player Fouled 22.9% 19.9%
Turnover 15.0% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken BALL INST
Shot Blocked 3.2% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 18.7% 23.1%