NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVM ME
Points 67.5 58.9
Total Points   126.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 33.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 15.6
Points From Free Throws 12.2 10.2
Shooting UVM ME
Field Goals Made 24.2 21.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 56.2
Field Goal % 44.0% 38.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 43.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 28.4%
Free Throws Made 12.2 10.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 14.3
Free Throw % 71.9% 71.4%
Ball Control UVM ME
Rebounds 37.1 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 30.0 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 6.4
Turnovers 9.7 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.6
Steals 5.5 6.2
Fouls 12.4 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Maine

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVM ME
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 64.7 64.3
% of Possessions with UVM ME
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 24.3%
Player Fouled 21.3% 18.4%
Turnover 14.4% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVM ME
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 17.5%