NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WCU JAC
Points 75.6 66.0
Total Points   141.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.8 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 14.9
Points From Free Throws 14.1 15.1
Shooting WCU JAC
Field Goals Made 26.8 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 57.7
Field Goal % 47.1% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 42.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 42.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 15.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 14.1 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 21.7
Free Throw % 70.0% 69.8%
Ball Control WCU JAC
Rebounds 37.8 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 10.6
Turnovers 9.5 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.5
Steals 3.7 5.4
Fouls 15.8 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: W Carolina

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WCU JAC
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 71.0
% of Possessions with WCU JAC
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 52.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 19.0%
Player Fouled 23.8% 22.8%
Turnover 13.8% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WCU JAC
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 27.7%