NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WCU DAV
Points 68.6 70.3
Total Points   138.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 16.6
Points From Free Throws 11.8 15.1
Shooting WCU DAV
Field Goals Made 24.6 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 56.9
Field Goal % 41.3% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 30.8%
Free Throws Made 11.8 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 20.6
Free Throw % 70.0% 73.6%
Ball Control WCU DAV
Rebounds 37.9 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 7.5
Turnovers 9.5 7.4
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.6
Steals 3.5 5.0
Fouls 16.3 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Davidson

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WCU DAV
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 69.1
% of Possessions with WCU DAV
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 23.2%
Player Fouled 19.6% 23.7%
Turnover 13.8% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 5.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WCU DAV
Shot Blocked 6.5% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 21.2%