NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CCU GASO
Points 76.0 81.8
Total Points   157.8
Points From 2-Pointers 39.0 31.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 37.2
Points From Free Throws 18.4 13.4
Shooting CCU GASO
Field Goals Made 25.7 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 65.1
Field Goal % 44.7% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 30.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 35.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 18.4 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 26.5 18.7
Free Throw % 69.4% 71.5%
Ball Control CCU GASO
Rebounds 40.2 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 10.8
Turnovers 12.5 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.9
Steals 5.3 7.7
Fouls 13.6 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: GA Southern

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CCU GASO
Total Possessions 75.0
Effective Scoring Chances 73.5 76.6
% of Possessions with CCU GASO
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 34.5%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 40.4%
Player Fouled 23.2% 18.1%
Turnover 16.7% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CCU GASO
Shot Blocked 7.6% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.4% 26.9%