NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CCU WOF
Points 71.9 78.3
Total Points   150.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 29.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 38.2
Points From Free Throws 14.0 10.6
Shooting CCU WOF
Field Goals Made 25.3 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 64.3
Field Goal % 43.3% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 27.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 37.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 14.0 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 17.2
Free Throw % 69.4% 61.9%
Ball Control CCU WOF
Rebounds 37.3 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 12.0
Turnovers 9.6 8.4
Blocked Shots 2.2 2.9
Steals 5.0 4.9
Fouls 13.6 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Coastal Car

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CCU WOF
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 75.1
% of Possessions with CCU WOF
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 32.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 43.9%
Player Fouled 20.6% 19.1%
Turnover 13.4% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CCU WOF
Shot Blocked 4.6% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 29.6%