NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CMU MINN
Points 62.2 75.9
Total Points   138.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 36.3
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 25.2
Points From Free Throws 10.1 14.3
Shooting CMU MINN
Field Goals Made 23.2 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 59.5
Field Goal % 38.8% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 41.2 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 42.0% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 10.1 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 21.1
Free Throw % 67.1% 67.9%
Ball Control CMU MINN
Rebounds 34.2 41.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 12.1
Turnovers 10.4 8.9
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.9
Steals 5.2 5.6
Fouls 14.2 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CMU MINN
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 72.4
% of Possessions with CMU MINN
2 Point Attempt 50.9% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 30.6%
Player Fouled 18.0% 20.5%
Turnover 15.1% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CMU MINN
Shot Blocked 8.4% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 33.1%