NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CMU CALBA
Points 64.0 66.2
Total Points   130.3
Points From 2-Pointers 40.0 30.4
Points From 3-Pointers 14.2 21.5
Points From Free Throws 9.8 14.4
Shooting CMU CALBA
Field Goals Made 24.8 22.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 60.9
Field Goal % 43.0% 36.7%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 42.3 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 41.6%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 15.4 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 9.8 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 14.6 20.6
Free Throw % 67.1% 69.6%
Ball Control CMU CALBA
Rebounds 34.7 42.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 14.7
Turnovers 8.8 8.6
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.7
Steals 4.1 3.3
Fouls 14.2 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Cal Baptist

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CMU CALBA
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 73.6
% of Possessions with CMU CALBA
2 Point Attempt 55.4% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 20.1% 29.0%
Player Fouled 19.8% 21.0%
Turnover 13.0% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 5.0% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CMU CALBA
Shot Blocked 4.5% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 35.3%