NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CMU FIU
Points 71.0 68.3
Total Points   139.3
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 31.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 25.7
Points From Free Throws 12.3 10.8
Shooting CMU FIU
Field Goals Made 25.6 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 63.7
Field Goal % 44.3% 38.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 28.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 29.8%
Free Throws Made 12.3 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 16.6
Free Throw % 67.1% 65.0%
Ball Control CMU FIU
Rebounds 42.3 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 30.1 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 12.0
Turnovers 14.4 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.7
Steals 5.0 8.0
Fouls 13.0 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Central Mich

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CMU FIU
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 73.9
% of Possessions with CMU FIU
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 33.7%
Player Fouled 19.8% 18.1%
Turnover 20.0% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CMU FIU
Shot Blocked 7.5% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 34.4% 28.5%