NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CMU MIZZ
Points 64.4 72.9
Total Points   137.3
Points From 2-Pointers 30.1 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 22.2
Points From Free Throws 14.2 15.4
Shooting CMU MIZZ
Field Goals Made 21.7 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 59.7
Field Goal % 38.1% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.5% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 29.3%
Free Throws Made 14.2 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 19.5
Free Throw % 67.1% 78.9%
Ball Control CMU MIZZ
Rebounds 37.6 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 11.3
Turnovers 11.8 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.0 5.4
Steals 4.7 6.5
Fouls 15.0 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Central Mich

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CMU MIZZ
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 71.8
% of Possessions with CMU MIZZ
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 30.8%
Player Fouled 22.8% 21.5%
Turnover 17.0% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CMU MIZZ
Shot Blocked 9.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 31.4% 30.7%