NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NICH NWST
Points 76.9 70.4
Total Points   147.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.7 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 17.0
Points From Free Throws 19.2 16.3
Shooting NICH NWST
Field Goals Made 25.0 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 57.6
Field Goal % 46.3% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 32.4 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 19.2 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 26.5 25.2
Free Throw % 72.4% 64.9%
Ball Control NICH NWST
Rebounds 37.1 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 11.1
Turnovers 12.3 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.2
Steals 6.5 6.6
Fouls 17.1 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: NW State

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NICH NWST
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 72.8
% of Possessions with NICH NWST
2 Point Attempt 38.6% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 22.5%
Player Fouled 23.3% 23.5%
Turnover 17.0% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NICH NWST
Shot Blocked 5.7% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 29.0%