NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EKY FGCU
Points 72.5 69.8
Total Points   142.3
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 23.1
Points From Free Throws 12.0 10.6
Shooting EKY FGCU
Field Goals Made 26.2 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 62.5
Field Goal % 43.7% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 42.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 42.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 12.0 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 15.5
Free Throw % 69.3% 68.1%
Ball Control EKY FGCU
Rebounds 38.5 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 11.3
Turnovers 9.3 8.9
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.0
Steals 4.9 5.8
Fouls 12.5 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Gulf Cst

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EKY FGCU
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 71.6
% of Possessions with EKY FGCU
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 24.5%
Player Fouled 18.3% 18.1%
Turnover 13.4% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken EKY FGCU
Shot Blocked 4.9% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.5% 29.0%