NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NICH CAL
Points 71.4 82.3
Total Points   153.7
Points From 2-Pointers 31.1 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.3 26.2
Points From Free Throws 15.1 17.5
Shooting NICH CAL
Field Goals Made 24.0 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 61.4
Field Goal % 40.9% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.2% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 26.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 15.1 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 23.9
Free Throw % 72.4% 73.2%
Ball Control NICH CAL
Rebounds 33.5 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 11.3
Turnovers 10.9 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.7
Steals 5.2 6.4
Fouls 16.7 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Nicholls

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NICH CAL
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.9 76.0
% of Possessions with NICH CAL
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 30.0%
Player Fouled 20.0% 22.5%
Turnover 14.7% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NICH CAL
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 30.6%