NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NICH HCU
Points 86.5 71.7
Total Points   158.2
Points From 2-Pointers 46.1 40.7
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 14.4
Points From Free Throws 14.5 16.6
Shooting NICH HCU
Field Goals Made 31.7 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 62.4 57.9
Field Goal % 50.7% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 23.1 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 41.8
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 16.1
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 29.9%
Free Throws Made 14.5 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 26.0
Free Throw % 72.4% 64.1%
Ball Control NICH HCU
Rebounds 36.6 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 10.9
Turnovers 9.5 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.1 2.3
Steals 7.9 5.4
Fouls 16.9 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Hsn Christian

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NICH HCU
Total Possessions 74.6
Effective Scoring Chances 74.8 73.4
% of Possessions with NICH HCU
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 18.4%
Player Fouled 17.8% 22.6%
Turnover 12.7% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NICH HCU
Shot Blocked 4.0% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 28.7%