NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NICH WVU
Points 72.5 80.1
Total Points   152.6
Points From 2-Pointers 28.1 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 30.9 23.6
Points From Free Throws 13.5 18.8
Shooting NICH WVU
Field Goals Made 24.3 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 54.7
Field Goal % 41.8% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.0 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 30.8 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 27.4 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 13.5 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 26.7
Free Throw % 72.4% 70.4%
Ball Control NICH WVU
Rebounds 31.7 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 9.1
Turnovers 11.1 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.0
Steals 6.8 4.8
Fouls 18.8 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Nicholls

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NICH WVU
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 70.7
% of Possessions with NICH WVU
2 Point Attempt 37.6% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 25.9%
Player Fouled 18.9% 26.1%
Turnover 15.4% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NICH WVU
Shot Blocked 7.4% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 28.1%