NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NICH TTU
Points 67.0 84.5
Total Points   151.5
Points From 2-Pointers 31.3 38.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 26.6
Points From Free Throws 12.2 19.5
Shooting NICH TTU
Field Goals Made 23.5 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 57.3
Field Goal % 41.3% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 32.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 24.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 12.2 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 24.9
Free Throw % 72.4% 78.5%
Ball Control NICH TTU
Rebounds 30.3 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 10.6
Turnovers 11.9 8.8
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.0
Steals 5.1 6.5
Fouls 17.2 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Nicholls

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NICH TTU
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 72.3
% of Possessions with NICH TTU
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 29.6%
Player Fouled 18.8% 24.5%
Turnover 16.8% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NICH TTU
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 33.0%