NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EKY INST
Points 71.0 88.7
Total Points   159.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 32.2
Points From Free Throws 10.9 17.3
Shooting EKY INST
Field Goals Made 26.6 30.3
Field Goals Attempted 63.7 61.2
Field Goal % 41.8% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 45.0 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 44.0% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 10.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 25.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 41.4%
Free Throws Made 10.9 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 21.5
Free Throw % 69.3% 80.7%
Ball Control EKY INST
Rebounds 34.2 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 8.0
Turnovers 9.3 8.6
Blocked Shots 5.5 1.6
Steals 4.7 5.3
Fouls 15.3 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana St

Expected Effect: +1.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EKY INST
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 73.7 73.0
% of Possessions with EKY INST
2 Point Attempt 53.8% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.3% 30.9%
Player Fouled 18.3% 20.8%
Turnover 12.7% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken EKY INST
Shot Blocked 2.6% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 24.6%