NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NICH LSU
Points 69.0 83.4
Total Points   152.4
Points From 2-Pointers 29.3 39.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 23.7
Points From Free Throws 14.9 19.8
Shooting NICH LSU
Field Goals Made 22.9 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 56.5
Field Goal % 40.6% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.6 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 14.9 19.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 27.0
Free Throw % 72.4% 73.3%
Ball Control NICH LSU
Rebounds 30.6 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 10.5
Turnovers 12.9 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.5
Steals 7.2 8.1
Fouls 17.0 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Nicholls

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NICH LSU
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 73.1
% of Possessions with NICH LSU
2 Point Attempt 39.6% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 25.4%
Player Fouled 19.9% 23.1%
Turnover 17.6% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NICH LSU
Shot Blocked 8.1% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 32.1%