NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GW SBON
Points 71.4 78.9
Total Points   150.4
Points From 2-Pointers 29.9 39.7
Points From 3-Pointers 26.7 26.9
Points From Free Throws 14.8 12.4
Shooting GW SBON
Field Goals Made 23.9 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 63.5
Field Goal % 43.2% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 30.3 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 14.8 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 16.1
Free Throw % 75.4% 77.3%
Ball Control GW SBON
Rebounds 33.4 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 10.4
Turnovers 11.5 8.0
Blocked Shots 2.9 4.5
Steals 4.1 6.3
Fouls 12.3 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Geo Wshgtn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GW SBON
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 73.2
% of Possessions with GW SBON
2 Point Attempt 37.9% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 28.4%
Player Fouled 19.5% 17.4%
Turnover 16.2% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GW SBON
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 28.5%