NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GW DUQ
Points 67.6 75.3
Total Points   142.9
Points From 2-Pointers 30.8 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 25.8
Points From Free Throws 14.9 11.4
Shooting GW DUQ
Field Goals Made 22.7 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 63.4
Field Goal % 41.3% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 14.9 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 15.6
Free Throw % 75.4% 73.4%
Ball Control GW DUQ
Rebounds 34.8 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 10.7
Turnovers 12.1 8.7
Blocked Shots 3.9 5.3
Steals 5.3 7.3
Fouls 13.0 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Duquesne

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GW DUQ
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 72.6
% of Possessions with GW DUQ
2 Point Attempt 40.3% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 29.0%
Player Fouled 19.8% 18.4%
Turnover 17.1% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GW DUQ
Shot Blocked 8.5% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 28.4%