NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RMU FGCU
Points 68.7 72.2
Total Points   140.8
Points From 2-Pointers 29.5 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 28.9 22.7
Points From Free Throws 10.3 11.4
Shooting RMU FGCU
Field Goals Made 24.4 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 57.0
Field Goal % 41.3% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 31.0 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 28.0 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 10.3 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 16.8
Free Throw % 69.8% 68.1%
Ball Control RMU FGCU
Rebounds 35.5 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 9.2
Turnovers 11.0 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.9
Steals 4.7 6.0
Fouls 13.9 11.8

Playing Style Advantage: Rob Morris

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RMU FGCU
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 67.6
% of Possessions with RMU FGCU
2 Point Attempt 38.4% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 34.7% 26.3%
Player Fouled 17.3% 20.4%
Turnover 16.0% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken RMU FGCU
Shot Blocked 5.1% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 30.3% 27.4%