NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RMU UIC
Points 66.6 76.4
Total Points   143.0
Points From 2-Pointers 32.1 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 26.3
Points From Free Throws 13.0 13.1
Shooting RMU UIC
Field Goals Made 23.2 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 58.4
Field Goal % 38.5% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 42.5% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 13.0 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 19.1
Free Throw % 69.8% 68.8%
Ball Control RMU UIC
Rebounds 38.4 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 7.7
Turnovers 12.3 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.6
Steals 4.8 5.9
Fouls 14.4 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: IL-Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RMU UIC
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 69.7
% of Possessions with RMU UIC
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 28.2%
Player Fouled 19.1% 19.9%
Turnover 17.0% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken RMU UIC
Shot Blocked 8.1% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 22.4%