NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RMU FDU
Points 78.7 72.1
Total Points   150.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 34.5
Points From 3-Pointers 30.7 21.2
Points From Free Throws 12.3 16.3
Shooting RMU FDU
Field Goals Made 28.1 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 62.3 59.5
Field Goal % 45.1% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 10.2 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 28.1 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 12.3 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 23.5
Free Throw % 69.8% 69.4%
Ball Control RMU FDU
Rebounds 43.4 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 29.9 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.5 9.2
Turnovers 13.3 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.9 1.9
Steals 4.6 7.1
Fouls 16.6 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Rob Morris

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RMU FDU
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 74.5 73.7
% of Possessions with RMU FDU
2 Point Attempt 38.6% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 25.8%
Player Fouled 19.0% 22.3%
Turnover 17.9% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken RMU FDU
Shot Blocked 3.3% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 36.3% 23.6%