NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GW NAVY
Points 78.9 66.5
Total Points   145.3
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 25.8 19.1
Points From Free Throws 16.6 12.2
Shooting GW NAVY
Field Goals Made 26.8 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.3 66.0
Field Goal % 50.3% 36.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 30.1 45.3
2 Point Shooting % 60.5% 38.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 30.8%
Free Throws Made 16.6 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 17.2
Free Throw % 75.4% 71.0%
Ball Control GW NAVY
Rebounds 38.3 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 30.6 21.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 13.5
Turnovers 11.2 8.0
Blocked Shots 5.4 2.4
Steals 4.1 5.5
Fouls 13.6 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Geo Wshgtn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GW NAVY
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 75.8
% of Possessions with GW NAVY
2 Point Attempt 38.1% 52.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 24.1%
Player Fouled 22.2% 19.3%
Turnover 15.9% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken GW NAVY
Shot Blocked 3.7% 10.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 30.6%