NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GW MASS
Points 73.2 80.3
Total Points   153.5
Points From 2-Pointers 31.5 43.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.9 23.5
Points From Free Throws 16.8 12.9
Shooting GW MASS
Field Goals Made 24.1 29.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 67.1
Field Goal % 42.6% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 22.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 43.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 16.8 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 18.8
Free Throw % 75.4% 68.2%
Ball Control GW MASS
Rebounds 34.6 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 14.4
Turnovers 11.4 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.5
Steals 5.2 6.8
Fouls 13.6 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: U Mass

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GW MASS
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 78.9
% of Possessions with GW MASS
2 Point Attempt 39.6% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 26.9%
Player Fouled 20.7% 18.7%
Turnover 15.7% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken GW MASS
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 35.5%