NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RMU WRST
Points 79.2 88.2
Total Points   167.4
Points From 2-Pointers 37.2 50.9
Points From 3-Pointers 30.6 19.2
Points From Free Throws 11.5 18.1
Shooting RMU WRST
Field Goals Made 28.8 31.8
Field Goals Attempted 63.3 58.8
Field Goal % 45.5% 54.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 25.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 43.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 10.2 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 27.4 15.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 40.8%
Free Throws Made 11.5 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 23.9
Free Throw % 69.8% 75.6%
Ball Control RMU WRST
Rebounds 33.9 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 8.3
Turnovers 12.0 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.0
Steals 5.0 6.0
Fouls 17.3 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Rob Morris

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RMU WRST
Total Possessions 74.4
Effective Scoring Chances 74.4 73.2
% of Possessions with RMU WRST
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 18.7%
Player Fouled 16.7% 23.3%
Turnover 16.1% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken RMU WRST
Shot Blocked 3.4% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.0% 27.6%