NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GW VCU
Points 65.4 76.9
Total Points   142.4
Points From 2-Pointers 26.9 34.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 30.2
Points From Free Throws 14.9 12.6
Shooting GW VCU
Field Goals Made 21.3 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 61.5
Field Goal % 38.0% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 13.5 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 35.2
2 Point Shooting % 42.9% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 14.9 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 16.3
Free Throw % 75.4% 77.2%
Ball Control GW VCU
Rebounds 34.2 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 9.8
Turnovers 10.7 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.8
Steals 5.5 6.6
Fouls 12.9 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: VCU

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GW VCU
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 71.5
% of Possessions with GW VCU
2 Point Attempt 39.2% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 32.4%
Player Fouled 19.1% 18.3%
Turnover 15.3% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GW VCU
Shot Blocked 7.9% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 27.1%