NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GW TOWS
Points 68.9 70.7
Total Points   139.6
Points From 2-Pointers 29.4 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 22.2
Points From Free Throws 14.4 11.6
Shooting GW TOWS
Field Goals Made 23.1 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 65.1
Field Goal % 42.1% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 43.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 42.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 14.4 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 17.4
Free Throw % 75.4% 66.3%
Ball Control GW TOWS
Rebounds 32.9 43.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 16.2
Turnovers 10.3 8.8
Blocked Shots 4.0 5.0
Steals 5.2 5.8
Fouls 11.9 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Towson

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GW TOWS
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 76.1
% of Possessions with GW TOWS
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 25.3%
Player Fouled 20.8% 17.2%
Turnover 15.0% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GW TOWS
Shot Blocked 7.9% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 38.3%