NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RMU DAV
Points 64.4 76.3
Total Points   140.6
Points From 2-Pointers 28.0 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.9 20.7
Points From Free Throws 11.5 16.4
Shooting RMU DAV
Field Goals Made 22.3 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 55.9
Field Goal % 38.0% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.0 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 43.8% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 26.8 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 11.5 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 22.3
Free Throw % 69.8% 73.6%
Ball Control RMU DAV
Rebounds 35.9 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.7
Turnovers 12.0 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.4
Steals 4.5 6.2
Fouls 16.6 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Davidson

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RMU DAV
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 69.4
% of Possessions with RMU DAV
2 Point Attempt 38.6% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 26.6%
Player Fouled 18.3% 23.8%
Turnover 17.2% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken RMU DAV
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.3% 26.6%