NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VAN RICH
Points 63.8 73.1
Total Points   136.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 25.8
Points From Free Throws 11.8 10.4
Shooting VAN RICH
Field Goals Made 22.8 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 56.9
Field Goal % 38.0% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 27.4% 39.2%
Free Throws Made 11.8 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 14.5
Free Throw % 70.7% 71.6%
Ball Control VAN RICH
Rebounds 37.2 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 5.1
Turnovers 8.7 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.1
Steals 4.5 4.5
Fouls 12.7 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Richmond

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VAN RICH
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 65.3
% of Possessions with VAN RICH
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 29.3%
Player Fouled 18.6% 18.5%
Turnover 12.6% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken VAN RICH
Shot Blocked 3.8% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 15.8%