NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VAN TENN
Points 60.1 82.8
Total Points   142.9
Points From 2-Pointers 26.6 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 31.9
Points From Free Throws 14.4 14.4
Shooting VAN TENN
Field Goals Made 19.7 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 62.4
Field Goal % 33.8% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 13.3 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 39.8% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 28.0
3 Point Shooting % 25.8% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 14.4 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 19.2
Free Throw % 70.7% 75.4%
Ball Control VAN TENN
Rebounds 33.7 43.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 31.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 12.3
Turnovers 10.4 8.6
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.9
Steals 5.2 5.7
Fouls 14.2 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Vanderbilt

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VAN TENN
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 74.6
% of Possessions with VAN TENN
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 33.4%
Player Fouled 21.0% 20.0%
Turnover 14.6% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken VAN TENN
Shot Blocked 6.4% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 34.0%