NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEB CREI
Points 72.7 80.3
Total Points   153.0
Points From 2-Pointers 41.7 30.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 38.1
Points From Free Throws 8.3 11.4
Shooting NEB CREI
Field Goals Made 28.4 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 68.1 62.4
Field Goal % 41.7% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 46.2 27.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 34.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 8.3 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 10.9 14.1
Free Throw % 76.0% 80.8%
Ball Control NEB CREI
Rebounds 35.5 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 31.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 8.8
Turnovers 6.7 9.6
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.9
Steals 5.3 3.4
Fouls 12.3 10.0

Playing Style Advantage: Nebraska

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEB CREI
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 74.0 71.3
% of Possessions with NEB CREI
2 Point Attempt 56.2% 33.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 42.8%
Player Fouled 13.9% 17.0%
Turnover 9.3% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 4.7% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEB CREI
Shot Blocked 6.3% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 24.8%