NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BYU MOSU
Points 80.7 68.0
Total Points   148.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 34.2 18.0
Points From Free Throws 11.0 13.0
Shooting BYU MOSU
Field Goals Made 29.2 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 67.3 58.8
Field Goal % 43.3% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 33.6 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 11.0 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 18.5
Free Throw % 72.5% 70.3%
Ball Control BYU MOSU
Rebounds 40.9 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 29.1 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.1
Turnovers 7.0 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.9
Steals 5.3 3.4
Fouls 15.2 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BYU MOSU
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 76.5 69.7
% of Possessions with BYU MOSU
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 39.8% 24.5%
Player Fouled 17.7% 21.3%
Turnover 9.7% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 4.7% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken BYU MOSU
Shot Blocked 4.9% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.4% 21.8%