NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE BRAD
Points 59.3 80.1
Total Points   139.5
Points From 2-Pointers 25.9 36.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 29.5
Points From Free Throws 13.5 14.4
Shooting SIUE BRAD
Field Goals Made 19.6 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 54.4
Field Goal % 33.6% 51.4%
2 Pointers Made 13.0 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 35.7% 59.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 41.3%
Free Throws Made 13.5 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 19.3
Free Throw % 73.2% 74.3%
Ball Control SIUE BRAD
Rebounds 32.5 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.2 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 8.1
Turnovers 10.7 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.6
Steals 5.8 6.2
Fouls 14.6 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Bradley

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE BRAD
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 66.4
% of Possessions with SIUE BRAD
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 30.5%
Player Fouled 19.4% 21.2%
Turnover 15.5% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE BRAD
Shot Blocked 8.5% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 27.5%