NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE SDAK
Points 77.8 77.0
Total Points   154.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 25.0 25.9
Points From Free Throws 12.7 15.7
Shooting SIUE SDAK
Field Goals Made 28.4 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 65.7 55.1
Field Goal % 43.2% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 41.2 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 42.3%
Free Throws Made 12.7 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 20.5
Free Throw % 73.2% 76.4%
Ball Control SIUE SDAK
Rebounds 35.5 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 7.2
Turnovers 6.5 11.8
Blocked Shots 4.6 1.4
Steals 6.4 2.8
Fouls 15.7 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: South Dakota

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE SDAK
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 76.6 67.0
% of Possessions with SIUE SDAK
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 25.3%
Player Fouled 18.7% 22.0%
Turnover 9.1% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 3.9% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE SDAK
Shot Blocked 2.6% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 23.2%