NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHS BGSU
Points 68.3 72.9
Total Points   141.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.2 16.4
Points From Free Throws 13.2 16.2
Shooting CHS BGSU
Field Goals Made 24.5 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 55.1
Field Goal % 43.1% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 30.4%
Free Throws Made 13.2 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 22.3
Free Throw % 70.5% 72.7%
Ball Control CHS BGSU
Rebounds 31.6 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.3 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 11.5
Turnovers 11.0 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.5
Steals 7.2 5.5
Fouls 16.3 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Bowling Grn

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHS BGSU
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 69.2
% of Possessions with CHS BGSU
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 21.8%
Player Fouled 19.7% 23.4%
Turnover 15.8% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHS BGSU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 35.0%