NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE MARQ
Points 60.2 87.0
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 27.1 41.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 30.8
Points From Free Throws 10.1 14.6
Shooting SIUE MARQ
Field Goals Made 21.2 31.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 56.8
Field Goal % 35.2% 54.7%
2 Pointers Made 13.6 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 39.0% 64.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 24.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 42.1%
Free Throws Made 10.1 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 13.8 21.2
Free Throw % 73.2% 68.8%
Ball Control SIUE MARQ
Rebounds 32.5 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 7.8
Turnovers 12.3 8.9
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.5
Steals 5.0 7.3
Fouls 15.1 11.7

Playing Style Advantage: SIU Edward

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE MARQ
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 69.4
% of Possessions with SIUE MARQ
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 30.7%
Player Fouled 16.5% 21.4%
Turnover 17.5% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE MARQ
Shot Blocked 8.0% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 26.4%