NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHS
Points 71.0 57.7
Total Points   128.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.2 31.0
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 19.4
Points From Free Throws 14.3 7.3
Shooting CHS
Field Goals Made 25.1 22.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 50.0
Field Goal % 44.7% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 29.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 14.3 7.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 11.9
Free Throw % 70.5% 60.7%
Ball Control CHS
Rebounds 36.2 28.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 21.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 7.8
Turnovers 10.7 16.2
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.1
Steals 8.7 5.2
Fouls 13.3 13.4

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHS
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 58.2
% of Possessions with CHS
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 27.4%
Player Fouled 20.0% 19.9%
Turnover 16.0% 24.3%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 13.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHS
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 38.9% 25.3%