NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHS DSU
Points 67.9 65.6
Total Points   133.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.9 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 11.6
Points From Free Throws 15.8 15.6
Shooting CHS DSU
Field Goals Made 22.5 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 53.0
Field Goal % 42.3% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.2 41.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 3.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 11.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 15.8 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 21.5
Free Throw % 70.5% 72.3%
Ball Control CHS DSU
Rebounds 34.1 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.2 21.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 12.0
Turnovers 13.9 14.3
Blocked Shots 2.9 1.4
Steals 8.0 7.1
Fouls 15.9 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHS DSU
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 67.4
% of Possessions with CHS DSU
2 Point Attempt 37.5% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 14.3%
Player Fouled 21.0% 22.9%
Turnover 19.9% 20.6%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 11.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHS DSU
Shot Blocked 2.7% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 36.9% 36.1%