NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WSU WASH
Points 76.3 71.2
Total Points   147.5
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 18.5
Points From Free Throws 14.7 14.1
Shooting WSU WASH
Field Goals Made 27.7 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 61.7 59.0
Field Goal % 44.9% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 43.4 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 14.7 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 19.7
Free Throw % 71.0% 71.5%
Ball Control WSU WASH
Rebounds 41.0 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 29.1 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 7.1
Turnovers 9.7 9.5
Blocked Shots 4.6 2.8
Steals 4.7 4.7
Fouls 16.2 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WSU WASH
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 74.6 70.0
% of Possessions with WSU WASH
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 50.4%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 22.1%
Player Fouled 21.6% 22.4%
Turnover 13.3% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WSU WASH
Shot Blocked 4.8% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 19.6%