NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU TEM
Points 79.8 54.9
Total Points   134.7
Points From 2-Pointers 41.1 20.0
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 20.0
Points From Free Throws 15.4 14.9
Shooting HOU TEM
Field Goals Made 28.3 16.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 52.5
Field Goal % 46.9% 31.7%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 10.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 28.8
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 34.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 28.2%
Free Throws Made 15.4 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 21.2
Free Throw % 71.1% 70.1%
Ball Control HOU TEM
Rebounds 43.2 31.3
Rebounds - Defensive 29.8 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.5 8.9
Turnovers 7.2 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.9 1.8
Steals 7.7 4.5
Fouls 15.3 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Temple

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU TEM
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 74.1 64.7
% of Possessions with HOU TEM
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 36.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 29.9%
Player Fouled 21.1% 22.5%
Turnover 10.7% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 11.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU TEM
Shot Blocked 3.6% 9.9%
Offensive Rebound 37.6% 23.0%