NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BYU UNLV
Points 77.4 69.8
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.6 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 32.0 17.2
Points From Free Throws 11.8 14.8
Shooting BYU UNLV
Field Goals Made 27.5 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 55.5
Field Goal % 43.9% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 30.2 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.7 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 32.4 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 11.8 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 20.2
Free Throw % 72.5% 73.0%
Ball Control BYU UNLV
Rebounds 39.1 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 7.3
Turnovers 9.2 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.8
Steals 5.0 4.5
Fouls 16.0 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BYU UNLV
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.9 67.4
% of Possessions with BYU UNLV
2 Point Attempt 36.3% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 38.9% 22.1%
Player Fouled 18.1% 23.0%
Turnover 13.2% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BYU UNLV
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 33.6% 21.5%