NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU WICH
Points 79.2 54.9
Total Points   134.1
Points From 2-Pointers 41.9 27.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 14.8
Points From Free Throws 12.9 12.4
Shooting HOU WICH
Field Goals Made 29.1 18.8
Field Goals Attempted 66.2 52.7
Field Goal % 44.0% 35.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 13.8
2 Pointers Attempted 42.9 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 39.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 17.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 28.7%
Free Throws Made 12.9 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 17.8
Free Throw % 71.1% 69.7%
Ball Control HOU WICH
Rebounds 41.9 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 15.5 9.8
Turnovers 6.3 14.8
Blocked Shots 6.7 2.5
Steals 10.2 3.9
Fouls 13.5 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Houston

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU WICH
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 77.5 63.3
% of Possessions with HOU WICH
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 21.3%
Player Fouled 18.7% 19.8%
Turnover 9.3% 21.6%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 15.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU WICH
Shot Blocked 4.8% 10.2%
Offensive Rebound 38.9% 27.0%