NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COFC RICH
Points 71.3 74.1
Total Points   145.4
Points From 2-Pointers 30.8 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 29.7 22.7
Points From Free Throws 10.8 11.3
Shooting COFC RICH
Field Goals Made 25.3 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 63.8 57.1
Field Goal % 39.6% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 30.0 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 38.7%
Free Throws Made 10.8 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 14.9 15.8
Free Throw % 72.3% 71.6%
Ball Control COFC RICH
Rebounds 39.4 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 4.5
Turnovers 8.8 8.4
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.8
Steals 4.4 5.5
Fouls 13.9 11.9

Playing Style Advantage: Richmond

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COFC RICH
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 73.3 66.2
% of Possessions with COFC RICH
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 36.0% 25.9%
Player Fouled 17.0% 19.8%
Turnover 12.6% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken COFC RICH
Shot Blocked 4.9% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.5% 14.1%