NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE UALR
Points 67.4 77.4
Total Points   144.8
Points From 2-Pointers 29.8 41.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 20.6
Points From Free Throws 14.5 14.9
Shooting SIUE UALR
Field Goals Made 22.6 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 56.6
Field Goal % 37.3% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 41.4% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 14.5 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 20.3
Free Throw % 73.2% 73.1%
Ball Control SIUE UALR
Rebounds 33.5 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 9.3
Turnovers 9.9 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.9
Steals 5.6 4.8
Fouls 14.8 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: SIU Edward

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE UALR
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 69.0
% of Possessions with SIUE UALR
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 21.6%
Player Fouled 19.8% 20.7%
Turnover 14.0% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE UALR
Shot Blocked 8.7% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 29.3%