NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BYU UTAH
Points 80.9 75.9
Total Points   156.7
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 39.1
Points From 3-Pointers 34.0 25.8
Points From Free Throws 10.9 11.0
Shooting BYU UTAH
Field Goals Made 29.3 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 67.6 61.0
Field Goal % 43.4% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 11.3 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 33.4 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 10.9 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 17.4
Free Throw % 72.5% 63.4%
Ball Control BYU UTAH
Rebounds 39.7 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 29.1 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 7.3
Turnovers 7.7 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.8
Steals 5.1 4.5
Fouls 16.1 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BYU UTAH
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 76.6 71.4
% of Possessions with BYU UTAH
2 Point Attempt 40.1% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 39.1% 28.5%
Player Fouled 17.3% 21.8%
Turnover 10.5% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BYU UTAH
Shot Blocked 4.7% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 20.1%