NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE NW
Points 62.3 82.0
Total Points   144.3
Points From 2-Pointers 29.8 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 28.3
Points From Free Throws 12.8 17.3
Shooting SIUE NW
Field Goals Made 21.5 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.3 54.6
Field Goal % 39.5% 50.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 45.4%
Free Throws Made 12.8 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 22.9
Free Throw % 73.2% 75.6%
Ball Control SIUE NW
Rebounds 30.0 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 7.4
Turnovers 10.9 7.8
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.9
Steals 4.4 6.3
Fouls 17.2 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Northwestern

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE NW
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 64.6 67.7
% of Possessions with SIUE NW
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 27.0%
Player Fouled 20.1% 25.2%
Turnover 16.1% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE NW
Shot Blocked 7.4% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 24.8%