NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WSU ARIZ
Points 69.4 75.6
Total Points   145.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 41.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 17.3
Points From Free Throws 11.4 16.5
Shooting WSU ARIZ
Field Goals Made 25.9 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 60.1
Field Goal % 42.6% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 43.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 11.4 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 23.3
Free Throw % 71.0% 71.0%
Ball Control WSU ARIZ
Rebounds 36.1 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 10.1
Turnovers 11.4 9.3
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.0
Steals 4.8 6.7
Fouls 16.2 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Arizona

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WSU ARIZ
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 73.6
% of Possessions with WSU ARIZ
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 51.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 19.6%
Player Fouled 19.9% 22.3%
Turnover 15.6% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WSU ARIZ
Shot Blocked 5.1% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 27.4%