NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WYO FRES
Points 75.6 72.6
Total Points   148.2
Points From 2-Pointers 37.1 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 23.6
Points From Free Throws 14.0 10.2
Shooting WYO FRES
Field Goals Made 26.7 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 56.2
Field Goal % 47.6% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 58.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 14.0 10.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 14.7
Free Throw % 75.2% 69.6%
Ball Control WYO FRES
Rebounds 33.1 30.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 7.3
Turnovers 9.7 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.7
Steals 4.5 6.5
Fouls 13.1 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Fresno St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WYO FRES
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 65.1
% of Possessions with WYO FRES
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 29.8%
Player Fouled 23.2% 19.2%
Turnover 14.2% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WYO FRES
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 23.4%