NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MCNS IW
Points 84.0 60.4
Total Points   144.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 21.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 24.7
Points From Free Throws 20.1 14.0
Shooting MCNS IW
Field Goals Made 27.9 19.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 50.6
Field Goal % 49.0% 37.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 10.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 24.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 44.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 42.8% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 20.1 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 29.0 19.6
Free Throw % 69.1% 71.7%
Ball Control MCNS IW
Rebounds 35.3 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 9.9
Turnovers 7.6 17.7
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.1
Steals 10.5 3.7
Fouls 16.4 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: McNeese St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MCNS IW
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 74.4 63.5
% of Possessions with MCNS IW
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 29.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 31.7%
Player Fouled 25.4% 23.0%
Turnover 10.7% 24.8%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 14.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MCNS IW
Shot Blocked 6.2% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 31.5% 28.9%